Poll
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US
Trump Gains in Iowa Poll, and DeSantis Holds Off Haley for a Distant Second
Mr. Trump has a commanding lead over his rivals five weeks before the first-in-the-nation caucuses.
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US
We Did an Experiment to See How Much Democracy and Abortion Matter to Voters
Yes, the economy is important, but we found that election subversion attempts appear to matter more to voters than polling…
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US
The Crisis in Issue Polling, and What We’re Doing About It
A poll can be very close to the actual result but miss the key story line. We’ll try new question…
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World
If Biden Is So Unpopular, Why Do Democrats Keep Winning?
Produced by ‘The Ezra Klein Show’ A New York Times and Siena College poll released Nov. 5 showed Donald Trump…
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US
Trump Is Still Far Ahead in Iowa Poll, With Haley Matching DeSantis for 2nd
Former President Donald J. Trump leads his closest competitors by 27 percentage points in a new Des Moines Register poll,…
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World
I Helped Obama Get Re-Elected. Here’s How Biden Can Win Again, Too.
President Biden’s age is on the minds of American voters as they think about the 2024 election. It’s no wonder:…
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US
More Republicans Say Trump Committed Crimes. But They Still Support Him.
The share of Republicans saying the former president has committed “serious federal crimes” has grown modestly, according to a new…
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US
How Did We Do? A Review of 2022 Before Our First Poll of 2023.
Trying to learn from a strong midterm run as we start surveying the G.O.P. primary.
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World
The Panic Over Biden’s Age Is Manufactured
The relationship between political campaigns, the news media and the public isn’t exactly an interplay between independent actors. It’s a…
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US
Reader Mailbag: Bots and Other Business
Answering questions on topics including polling, independent voters and Black turnout.